empty
27.02.2025 12:19 PM
AUD/JPY: Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The AUD/JPY pair's rate is attempting to hold slightly above the 94.00 level, its lowest point since September 2024.

Investors are increasingly confident that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates, driven by rising inflation in Japan. This expectation overshadows recent comments from BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, who hinted at a possible increase in regular bond purchases, which in turn is pushing Japanese government bond yields higher.

Additionally, concerns over US President Donald Trump's tariff plans continue to support the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency, exerting further pressure on AUD/JPY.

Trump has ordered an investigation into copper imports to determine whether tariffs should be imposed for national security reasons. This directive adds to the already implemented 10% tariffs on Chinese goods and threats of retaliatory measures against other countries.

Moreover, weaker domestic consumer inflation data from Australia has contributed to the relative underperformance of the Australian dollar, further weighing on AUD/JPY.

On Thursday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser expressed optimism about inflation trends, but emphasized the need for sustainable progress in this area. He also highlighted that Australia's tight labor market remains a significant challenge for inflation control.

According to a Wall Street Journal report citing the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), there is growing concern about the potential risks of a US-China trade war, triggered by Trump's tariff actions. China's response to these threats will be a crucial factor influencing the future performance of the Australian dollar.

Technical Outlook

The recent decline below the previous yearly low at 94.35 confirms the weakness of the Australian dollar.

If the cross falls and holds below 94.00, it would further validate that the path of least resistance remains downward. Additionally, oscillators on the daily chart remain in negative territory, reinforcing a bearish bias.

Key Economic Events to Watch

For better trading opportunities, traders should closely monitor important economic reports from Japan on Friday, including:

  • Industrial Production Data
  • Retail Sales Figures
  • Tokyo Inflation Report

These reports could provide fresh momentum for the AUD/JPY pair's rate.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, gold is rising, trading near the all-time high reached the previous day, amid growing uncertainty surrounding the US-China trade wars. Gold is gaining ground today, remaining close

Irina Yanina 12:18 2025-04-15 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the Japanese yen is struggling to extend its gains due to optimistic developments regarding trade negotiations and the postponement of tariffs. President Trump's statement about possible exemptions

Irina Yanina 12:08 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Trump Will Either Win or Lose. Is There No Middle Ground? (Potential Renewed Decline in #SPX and Bitcoin)

On Monday, markets calmed slightly amid Donald Trump's apparent backpedaling on the trade barriers he had imposed on America's trading partners. It gives the impression that the U.S. president

Pati Gani 09:46 2025-04-15 UTC+2

The Market Celebrates a Ceasefire

While there is still no peace in the trade conflict, a semblance of a ceasefire has appeared. The White House is beginning to frantically realize it has gone

Marek Petkovich 09:08 2025-04-15 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on April 15? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Quite a few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Tuesday, but under the current circumstances, macroeconomic data mean little to the market. They might have a short-term local impact

Paolo Greco 06:29 2025-04-15 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview. April 15: Trump Giveth, Trump Taketh Away

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Monday. As with the euro, there was no specific reason for the pair to decline. Of course, the current rally looks

Paolo Greco 03:57 2025-04-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview. April 15: Who Found a Reason for Optimism?

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its upward movement on Monday. Despite the slower growth this time, the pair continues to rise. Yesterday saw a 50-pip increase; today, it's 250. What

Paolo Greco 03:57 2025-04-15 UTC+2

ECB Meeting: What to Expect?

This week, the ECB's meeting in April is happening, and the euro is in high spirits. The euro has been doing exceptionally well for at least two months—seemingly without much

Chin Zhao 00:35 2025-04-15 UTC+2

The Pound Forms a Top

The British economy grew by 0.5% in February, rebounding from no growth in January and significantly exceeding the forecast of +0.1%. This was the strongest growth in the last

Kuvat Raharjo 00:35 2025-04-15 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Northern Trend, Southern Pullbacks

The upward trend in the EUR/USD pair remains intact amid the overall weakness of the U.S. dollar. Significant downward pullbacks allow buyers to open long positions at more favorable prices

Irina Manzenko 00:35 2025-04-15 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.