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10.04.2025 05:08
S&P 500 2025-yil 10-aprel uchun prognoz

Kecha AQSh fond bozori indeksi, S&P 500, o'z tarixidagi eng katta bir kunlik o'sishlardan birini qayd etdi. U 5516.00 darajasidagi maqsadli nuqtadan bir necha bal pastda qolib ketdi. Shuningdek, 2–3 aprel kunlari hosil bo'lgan bo'shliq to'liq yopilganmi degan nozik savol ham mavjud. Agar bozor nimadir to'liq emasligini sezsa, kunda-lik grafikda belgilangan kulrang to'rtburchak ichida bir-ikki kun uzoqroq turishi mumkin. Muhim qarshilik darajasi bu 5669.50 atrofidagi MACD chizig'idir. Agar u orqali yuqoriga chiqib ketsa, o'rta muddatli o'sish tendensiyasi davom etishingiz mumkin va indeksni yangi tarixiy yuqori cho'qqilarga olib chiqishi mumkin.

Biroq, asosiy senariyimiz narxning 4612.00 darajasidagi qo'llab-quvvatlovga qaytishini oldindan taxmin qilmoqda — bu 2023-yil iyulining eng yuqori nuqtasidir. Marlin osilator ham nol chizig'idan pastga burilib, ushbu fikrni qo'llab-quvvatlaydi. Sababi shundaki, kecha Trump bojlar pasayishini e'lon qilgan 75 ta mamlakat orasida (asosiy 10% ga kamaytirildi), hech biri AQShning asosiy savdo hamkorlari emas.

4 soatlik vaqt oralig'ida, narx MACD chizig'i ustida qolmoqda, bu esa 5516.00 darajasini aniqrog'i tekshirish imkonini beradi, ehtimol undan o'tib ketilishi ham mumkin. Ammo MACD chizig'i va 5356.00 darajasidan pastga tushib ketishi 5274.00 ga yo'l ochishi mumkin va undan pastda yopilishi qaytish senariysini tasdiqlaydi.

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